Prevent NeedLive
SafeStep
Key question
What would need to be true for falls prevention to create value?
Explore how different assumptions affect the value case for falls prevention.
Open decision sandboxes for healthcare strategy
Explore how healthcare interventions generate value under uncertainty.
Health Economics Scenario Lab is an open analytical project exploring how interventions and service changes might affect activity, cost, outcomes, and value before ideas harden into static business cases.
Built by Oliver Carey as a practical exploration of healthcare strategy, health economics, and interactive decision support.
About the project
A practical model for thinking more clearly
The lab is built around a simple question: what would need to be true for an intervention to create value? In practice, that usually comes down to scale, baseline risk, effect size, persistence, and delivery cost.
Live sandboxes
Current library
Open the live modules and explore how different intervention types behave under different assumptions.
Detect EarlierLive
ClearPath
Key question
What would need to shift for earlier diagnosis to create value?
Explore how earlier diagnosis might change pathway pressure, cost, and value.
Routes to system value
A shared framework across the lab
Prevent Need
Reduce avoidable events before they happen.
Detect Earlier
Shift patients into earlier and more treatable states.
Stabilise Risk
Reduce deterioration, crisis events, and unplanned activity.
Improve Access
Reduce delay, backlog, and escalation caused by constrained access.
Redesign Flow
Improve pathway efficiency by changing how care operates.
Shift Care Setting
Move care from higher-cost to lower-intensity settings.
Improve Decisions
Improve triage, prioritisation, and decision quality.
In practice
From idea to decision
The lab helps structure an intervention idea, translate it into explicit assumptions, test uncertainty, and clarify what would need to be true before a stronger case can be made.
Next up
Planned modules
The next wave of modules expands the framework across additional routes to system value, including care setting shift, proactive management, and decision support.
SteadyLungsKidneyKindDiabetesForwardCareShiftSignalPath